Pound back up... a little

It seems that no news is good news for sterling at the moment, and with no major data releases in the UK this week the Pound has crept back up slowly during the last 3 days. Next week's key Bank of England announcement on Thursday could shake things up, so anybody looking to send money overseas may have a window of a few days to look at securing your rate.

Don't forget, Currency Index can book exchange rates up to 2 years ahead, without you needing all your sterling available. Please call for more details.

This week's data

Please see our weekly article for an overview on the market and data releases this week which are likely to affect exchange rates.

Contact Currency Index on 0800 043 2623 if you would like to discuss the latest news relating to your specific requirements.

GDP sends sterling plummeting

This morning's GDP data has shown a contraction of 0.4% in the economy for Q3, dashing hopes that there would be some growth to technically end the recession.

Disappointing data - and the markets have reacted badly, with sterling dropping around 1.5c against both the Euro and US Dollar.

Contact Currency Index for the latest commercial rates.

Retail Sales at 9.30

Following some good days for sterling, this morning's retail sales figures at 9.30am are an important measure of economic activity. If you need to send money overseas, keep an eye on rates around 9.30 and contact Currency Index if you would like us to alert you to any movements.

Bank Minutes Boost Pound

A little more cheer for the Pound today - which has now gained 3% against the Euro and 6% against the US Dollar in the last week. The Bank of England revealed this morning that they voted unanimously for a pause in quantitative easing this month - easing fears that more money would need to be pumped into the economy in November.



The mid-market rates for Euros and Dollars are now above €1.10 and $1.65 respectively, although the outlook is still poor - the UK's debt and fiscal position are likely to stifle any recovery for GBP which remains vulnerable to bad news.

Pound to remain weak until 2014?

Some worrying reading on the Telegraph website over the weekend - Ernst and Young predicting rates around parity for sterling against the Euro for years to come:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/6360466/UKs-budget-deficit-will-leave-pound-weak-until-at-least-2014.html

Sterling Update

Please see our article for this week's foreign exchange outlook and major data releases.


Mervyn King, the Governer of the Bank of England, is giving a speech tonight at 8.30 which will be watched for clues about quantitative easing. This morning, public finance data is released at 9.30am - if public debt has increased significantly we would expect negative movement for the Pound.

Bank of England sends mixed signals

Some good news for the Pound at last this week, as Bank of England MPC member Paul Fisher told the FT that quantitative easing is now working, "having the scale and impact that we would have hoped for".



The Pound has been struggling on expectations that the Bank would increase QE by pumping more money in to the economy at its next meeting in November. We would expect more volatility leading up to the announcement, as speculation increased as to what the Bank's next move will be.

Unemployment rises

UK unemployment has risen according to official figures out today - but not as much as expected. Sterling has gained a little strength accordingly.

The outlook is still worsening overall for the Pound. See our article on HomesGoFast for an updated analysis on the current situation.

Pound hit by UK inflation

Further bad news for sterling this morning, as the UK's Retail Price Index, a key measure of inflation, fell 1.4% in the year to September. A smaller fall was expected.

Lower inflation means that interest rates are even less likely to rise, and tends to be negative for sterling.

Luckily for anyone sending money in Euros, the Eurozone ZEW economic sentiment survey also came in negative, meaning the EUR exchange rate did not fall as much as it might have done otherwise.

Britain comes bottom of 'quality of life' survey

According to a new survey, the UK has the lowest quality of life compared to 9 other large European countries. Although average household income is higher than anywhere else, the high cost of living, bad weather and long hours mean that France, Spain and Denmark have overall much better quality of life.

This will come as no surprise to those of you buying property overseas, so although exchange rates at the moment mean that property in Europe is relatively more expensive than when the Pound is strong, there is no shortage of Brits wanting to make the move abroad.

If you are making the move, speak to Currency Index about obtaining commercial exchange rates for sending money overeas.

This week's currency news

A lot of data is out this week, so expect exchange rates to be volatile. In the current climate the Pound is struggling so any further bad news is likely to make foreign currency transfers more expensive.

For a list of this week's data releases please see our article here.

CEBR Predicts £1 = €1, $1.40

A damning report over the weekend from the Centre for Economics and Business Research, has predicted the Pound will fall BELOW parity with the Euro (£1 = €1) and below $1.40 against the US Dollar, with UK interest rates staying at 0.5% until 2011.

See the BBC's report for more information.

UK Trade Balance worsens

The UK trade balance for August has risen to -£3bn, above expectations of -£2.5bn, in more bad news for the UK economy and sterling.

The Pound is dropping this morning as a result.

Currency News this week

No joy for those of you waiting to transfer money overseas yet this week - as the Pound was hampered by this morning's negative UK manufacturing data.

For the rest of the week we have some key data which may cause volatility - not least the monthly Bank of England and European Central Bank policy announcements.

Whatever your requirements, do contact a currency company to discuss your currency transfer - optimism in these markets can be expensive.

Wednesday
Overnight - UK consumer confidence
11am - German factory orders

Thursday
1.30am - Australian unemployment rate
11am - German industrial production (August)
12pm - Bank of England interest rate decision
12.45pm - European Central Bank interest rate decision
1.15pm - Canadian housing starts
1.30pm - US jobless claims data

Friday
Midnight - Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke's speech
7am - German CPI inflation
9am - Halifax UK house price index
9.30am - UK PPI inflation
1.30pm - US trade balance (August)

Australian Interest Rates Up

The Reserve Bank of Australia has become the first major central bank to raise interest rates since the economic crisis - from 3% to 3.25%.

This is significant for anybody who needs to send money to Australia, as higher interest rates increase demand for the currency, and therefore the price tends to increase - in other words, exchange rates for sending money to Australia fall.

This morning, the mid-market rate has fallen below $1.80, and with unemployment figures to come tomorrow overnight, there could be more movement to come if the Australian economy is picking up more quickly than expected.